Sự chuyển đổi nhân khẩu học

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Sự chuyển đổi nhân khẩu học (demographic transition) (DT) là sự chuyển đổi từ tỷ lệ sinh và chết cao sang tỷ lệ sinh và chết thấp, nó cho thấy một đất nước hay một vùng đi từ thời kì đầu công nghiệp sang nền kinh tế công nghiệp. Giả thuyết này được đặt ra bởi nhà nhân khẩu học người Mỹ Warren Thompson.

Chú thích[sửa | sửa mã nguồn]

Tham khảo[sửa | sửa mã nguồn]

  • Carrying capacity
  • Caldwell, John C. (1976). “Toward a restatement of demographic transition theory”. Population and Development Review 2 (3/4): 321–66. JSTOR 1971615. doi:10.2307/1971615. 
  • ————————; Bruce K Caldwell; Pat Caldwell; Peter F McDonald; Thomas Schindlmayr (2006). Demographic Transition Theory. Dordrecht, the Netherlands: Springer. tr. 418. ISBN 1-4020-4373-2. 
  • Chesnais, Jean-Claude. The Demographic Transition: Stages, Patterns, and Economic Implications: A Longitudinal Study of Sixty-Seven Countries Covering the Period 1720–1984. Oxford U. Press, 1993. 633 pp.
  • Coale, Ansley J. 1973. "The demographic transition," IUSSP Liege International Population Conference. Liege: IUSSP. Volume 1: 53–72.
  • ————————; Anderson, Barbara A; Härm, Erna (1979), Human Fertility in Russia since the Nineteenth Century, Princeton, NJ: Princeton University Press .
  • Coale, Ansley J; Watkins, Susan C biên tập (1987), The Decline of Fertility in Europe, Princeton, NJ: Princeton University Press .
  • Davis, Kingsley (1945), “The World Demographic Transition”, Annals of the American Academy of Political and Social Science (237): 1–11, JSTOR 1025490 . Classic article that introduced concept of transition.
  • Davis, Kingsley. 1963. "The theory of change and response in modern demographic history." Population Index 29(October): 345–66.
  • Kunisch, Sven; Boehm, Stephan A.; Boppel, Michael (eds): From Grey to Silver: Managing the Demographic Change Successfully, Springer-Verlag, Berlin Heidelberg 2011, ISBN 978-3-642-15593-2
  • Friedlander, Dov; S Okun, Barbara; Segal, Sharon (1999), “The Demographic Transition Then and Now: Processes, Perspectives, and Analyses”, Journal of Family History 24 (4): 493–533, ISSN 0363-1990, PMID 11623954, doi:10.1177/036319909902400406 , full text in Ebsco.
  • Galor, Oded (2005). “The Demographic Transition and the Emergence of Sustained Economic Growth”. Journal of the European Economic Association 3: 494–504. doi:10.1162/jeea.2005.3.2-3.494. 
  • ———————— (2008), “The Demographic Transition”, New Palgrave Dictionary of Economics (ấn bản 2), Macmillan .
  • Gillis, John R., Louise A. Tilly, and David Levine, eds. The European Experience of Declining Fertility, 1850–1970: The Quiet Revolution. 1992.
  • Greenwood, Jeremy; Seshadri, Ananth (2002). “The US Demographic Transition”. American Economic Review 92 (2): 153–59. JSTOR 3083393. doi:10.1257/000282802320189168. 
  • Harbison, Sarah F.; Robinson, Warren C. (2002). “Policy Implications of the Next World Demographic Transition”. Studies in Family Planning 33 (1): 37–48. JSTOR 2696331. PMID 11974418. doi:10.1111/j.1728-4465.2002.00037.x. 
  • Hirschman, Charles (1994). “Why fertility changes”. Annual Review of Sociology 20: 203–233. PMID 12318868. doi:10.1146/annurev.so.20.080194.001223. 
  • Jones, GW biên tập (1997), The Continuing Demographic Transition, et al, Questia .
  • Korotayev, Andrey; Malkov, Artemy & Khaltourina, Daria (2006). Introduction to Social Macrodynamics: Compact Macromodels of the World System Growth. Moskva, Nga: URSS. tr. 128. ISBN 5-484-00414-4. 
  • Kirk, Dudley (1996). “The Demographic Transition”. Population Studies 50 (3): 361–87. JSTOR 2174639. PMID 11618374. doi:10.1080/0032472031000149536. 
  • Borgerhoff, Luttbeg B; Borgerhoff Mulder, M; Mangel, MS (2000), “To marry or not to marry? A dynamic model of marriage behavior and demographic transition”, trong Cronk, L; Chagnon, NA; Irons, W, Human behavior and adaptation: An anthropological perspective, New York: Aldine Transaction, tr. 528, ISBN 0-202-02044-4 
  • Landry, Adolphe, 1982 [1934], La révolution démographique – Études et essais sur les problèmes de la population, Paris, INED-Presses Universitaires de France
  • McNicoll, Geoffrey. "Policy Lessons of the East Asian Demographic Transition," Population and Development Review, Vol. 32, No. 1 (Mar., 2006), pp. 1–25
  • Mercer, Alexander (2014), Infections, Chronic Disease, and the Epidemiological Transition. Rochester, NY: University of Rochester Press/Rochester Studies in Medical History, ISBN 978-1-58046-508-3
  • Montgomery, Keith, “The Demographic Transition”, Geography (UWC) .
  • Notestein, Frank W. 1945. "Population — The Long View," in Theodore W. Schultz, Ed., Food for the World. Chicago: University of Chicago Press.
  • Saito, Oasamu (1996), “Historical Demography: Achievements and Prospects”, Population Studies 50 (3): 537–53, ISSN 0032-4728, JSTOR 2174646, PMID 11618380, doi:10.1080/0032472031000149606 .
  • Soares, Rodrigo R., and Bruno L. S. Falcão. "The Demographic Transition and the Sexual Division of Labor," Journal of Political Economy, Vol. 116, No. 6 (Dec., 2008), pp. 1058–104
  • Szreter, Simon (1993), “The Idea of Demographic Transition and the Study of Fertility: A Critical Intellectual History”, Population and Development Review 19 (4): 659–701, JSTOR 2938410, doi:10.2307/2938410 .
  • ————————; Nye, Robert A; van Poppel, Frans (2003), “Fertility and Contraception During the Demographic Transition: Qualitative and Quantitative Approaches”, Journal of Interdisciplinary History 34 (2): 141–54, ISSN 0022-1953, doi:10.1162/002219503322649453 , full text in Project Muse and Ebsco
  • Thompson, Warren S (1929), “Population”, American Journal of Sociology 34 (6): 959–75, doi:10.1086/214874, After the next World War, we will see Germany lose more women and children and soon start again from a developing stage .
  • World Bank, Fertility Rate