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'''Dự báo động đất''' ([[tiếng Anh]]: Earthquake prediction) là một nhánh của [[địa chấn học]] liên quan đến việc xác định thời gian, vị trí và cường độ của các trận động đất trong tương lai trong các giới hạn đã nêu <ref>{{Harvnb |Geller |Jackson |Kagan |Mulargia |1997 |p=1616}}, following {{Harvtxt |Allen |1976 |p=2070}}</ref>, và đặc biệt là "''xác định các tham số cho trận động đất mạnh tiếp theo xảy ra trong một khu vực''" <ref>{{Harvnb |Kagan |1997b}}, p. 507.</ref>.
'''Dự báo động đất''' ([[tiếng Anh]]: Earthquake prediction) là một nhánh của [[địa chấn học]] liên quan đến việc xác định thời gian, vị trí và cường độ của các trận [[động đất]] trong tương lai trong các giới hạn đã nêu <ref>{{Harvnb |Geller |Jackson |Kagan |Mulargia |1997 |p=1616}}, following {{Harvtxt |Allen |1976 |p=2070}}</ref>, và đặc biệt là "''xác định các tham số cho trận động đất mạnh tiếp theo xảy ra trong khu vực''" <ref>{{Harvnb |Kagan |1997b}}, p. 507.</ref>.


''Dự báo động đất'' (Earthquake prediction) khác với ''dự báo (khả năng) động đất'' (Earthquake forecasting), là dự báo dựa trên đánh giá xác suất xảy ra động đất nói chung, bao gồm tần số và cường độ của các trận động đất gây thiệt hại trong một khu vực nhất định trong nhiều năm hoặc thập niên <ref>{{Harvnb |Kanamori |2003}}, p. 1205. See also {{Harvnb |ICEF |2011}}, (p. 327), which distinguishes between predictions (as deterministic) and forecasts (as probabilistic). Not all scientists distinguish "prediction" and "forecast", but it is useful, and will be observed in this article.</ref>. Từ các hệ thống cảnh báo động đất, khi phát hiện ra trận động đất, cung cấp một cảnh báo theo thời gian thực về các giây tới ở các khu vực lân cận có thể bị ảnh hưởng.
''Dự báo động đất'' (Earthquake prediction) khác với ''dự báo (khả năng) động đất'' (Earthquake forecasting), là dự báo dựa trên đánh giá xác suất xảy ra động đất nói chung, bao gồm tần số và cường độ của các trận động đất gây thiệt hại trong một khu vực nhất định trong nhiều năm hoặc thập niên <ref>{{Harvnb |Kanamori |2003}}, p. 1205. See also {{Harvnb |ICEF |2011}}, (p. 327), which distinguishes between predictions (as deterministic) and forecasts (as probabilistic). Not all scientists distinguish "prediction" and "forecast", but it is useful, and will be observed in this article.</ref>. Từ các hệ thống cảnh báo động đất, khi phát hiện ra trận động đất, cung cấp một cảnh báo theo thời gian thực về các giây tới ở các khu vực lân cận có thể bị ảnh hưởng.


== Lịch sử ==
== Lịch sử ==

== Tham khảo ==
== Tham khảo ==
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'''Nguồn

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{{div col end}}
== Xem thêm ==
== Xem thêm ==
* [[Đánh số núi lửa]] ([[:en:Volcano Number |Volcano Number]])
* [[Đánh số núi lửa]] ([[:en:Volcano Number |Volcano Number]])

Phiên bản lúc 05:20, ngày 12 tháng 12 năm 2017

Dự báo động đất (tiếng Anh: Earthquake prediction) là một nhánh của địa chấn học liên quan đến việc xác định thời gian, vị trí và cường độ của các trận động đất trong tương lai trong các giới hạn đã nêu [1], và đặc biệt là "xác định các tham số cho trận động đất mạnh tiếp theo xảy ra trong khu vực" [2].

Dự báo động đất (Earthquake prediction) khác với dự báo (khả năng) động đất (Earthquake forecasting), là dự báo dựa trên đánh giá xác suất xảy ra động đất nói chung, bao gồm tần số và cường độ của các trận động đất gây thiệt hại trong một khu vực nhất định trong nhiều năm hoặc thập niên [3]. Từ các hệ thống cảnh báo động đất, khi phát hiện ra trận động đất, cung cấp một cảnh báo theo thời gian thực về các giây tới ở các khu vực lân cận có thể bị ảnh hưởng.

Lịch sử

Tham khảo

  1. ^ Geller và đồng nghiệp 1997, tr. 1616, following Allen (1976, tr. 2070)
  2. ^ Kagan 1997b, p. 507.
  3. ^ Kanamori 2003, p. 1205. See also ICEF 2011, (p. 327), which distinguishes between predictions (as deterministic) and forecasts (as probabilistic). Not all scientists distinguish "prediction" and "forecast", but it is useful, and will be observed in this article.

Nguồn

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